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There was a slight decline in the stock market last week amid global upheaval. The main reason for this is the imposition of tariffs on countries around the world by US President Trump and then a break on it for 90 days. In the midst of all this, business sourness in America and China relations has increased more economic uncertainties. There are two holidays in the stock market this week- 14 April is Ambedkar Jayanti, while on Friday (April 18) is Good Friday. In such a situation, the question is arising that what will be the mood of the market in this case, let’s know in five points.
Inflation data
Talking about the Indian market, everyone will keep an eye on the inflation rate of March coming on April 15, which was 3.61 percent in the last month i.e. February. The Reserve Bank will also have a chance to maintain softness in policy stance. Experts believe that due to the decrease in the price of food items, inflation may decrease further in the coming time.
Crude oil prices
The market move also depends on a large extent that the prices of crude oil remains stable or there is a continuation of ups and downs. Brett crude futures closed at $ 64.76 per barrel after a light recovery after thundering to a low of four years of low last week. If the oil prices decrease, then it will be a good thing for countries like India, and this will also reduce the government’s financial deficit.
European Central Bank meeting
China’s first quarter GDP growth and European Central Bank meeting this week is also going to be very important globally. According to Reuters Poll, the GDP growth rates in China can decrease to 5.1 percent in Q-1 CY25, it was five decimal four percent in Q-4 2024. Whereas European Central Bank Deposit Rape can be reduced to 25 basis points to 2.25 percent.
Tariff war
The trade war between the US and China will also decide the market to a large extent. China has retaliated on the US and has reduced the tariff rates to 125 percent. On the other hand, the US has given exemption from tariff tariffs to smartphones and computers imported from China, which is considered to be a big relief for Apple.
